News Article
NPD Solarbuzz: Non-Residential PV Growth Booming In China
A sharp increase in non-residential building-mount PV applications indicates a strong growth towards self-sustained power generation in the Chinese PV market, according to a recently released NPD Solarbuzz China Deal Tracker report.
The number of non-utility commercial projects being planned has surpassed the utility sector, a further indication of the growing trend towards non-utility-driven PV (photovoltaic) adoption.
Materials currently used for photovoltaics include monocrystalline, polycrystalline and amorphous silicon, CdTe, CIGS (where S stands for diselenide or sulphide) and multijunction III-V compound semiconductors.
In May 2012, Premier Jiabao Wen called for an increase in self-sustained solar power within the utility and residential segments. It is estimated that the number of non-residential building-mount applications increased to more than 400 at the end of July 2012, while the number of planned projects within China's PV pipeline exceeded 700.
However, ground-mount applications are forecast to continue as the largest segment in China during 2012 with a 58 percent share, followed by large building-mount applications, which are growing rapidly.
"In the Chinese PV market, utility and corporate segments are expected to dominate in the period from 2012 to 2016," says Steven Han, Analyst for NPD Solarbuzz. "However, the corporate segment is now forecast to exceed the utility segment in 2013."
The Northwest region of China, including Qinghai, Gansu, Ningxia, Xinjiang and Shaanxi, will have 63 percent of the total PV project pipeline for China during 2012-2016. Systems of 1-5 MW will contribute 30 percent of the total project count, driven by Golden Sun projects expected to be completed.
Currently, the leading PV system developers in the Chinese market include the China Power Investment Corporation (CPI), China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Group (CECEP), and China Datang Corporation. These companies alone account for more than 5 GW of PV capacity currently in the project pipeline.
The dominance of the utility segment in the Chinese PV market has made it very difficult for overseas PV companies to compete successfully with domestic PV module and systems providers. However, the growing share of non-utility commercial projects will provide new opportunities for a wider range of module, inverter, and other balance-of-systems component suppliers.
Access to the Chinese PV market by overseas systems integrators is now more viable, which is fortunate at a time when sales pipelines in major European PV markets are at risk from policy uncertainties. However, identifying the most suitable PV projects and partners, and understanding the mechanics of the different bidding processes within China will be key factors for all companies targeting these new opportunities.
